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Demócratas y republicanos parecen ir por caminos distintos sobre la ley Promesa

Published in El Nuevo Dia.

El experto en finanzas Alex Pollock, del grupo R Street y quien fue invitado a la audiencia por la minoría republicana, recomendó que la JSF tenga más poderes y pidió al Congreso nombrar un jefe de finanzas que también funcione por encima del gobierno electo de Puerto Rico.

Como varios congresistas republicanos, Pollock criticó que el gobierno de Puerto Rico no haya publicado los informes financieros auditados de 2016, 2017 y 2018.

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U.S House Natural Resources Committee Holds Hearing on Puerto Rico

Published in The Weekly Journal.

The U.S. House Committee on Natural Resources holds a hearing today on the status of Puerto Rico Oversight, Management, and Economic Stability Act (PROMESA): Lessons Learned Three Years Later.

Natural Resources committee Chairman Raúl Grijalva presides the 10 a.m. oversight hearing at the Longworth House Office Building.

Gov. Ricardo Rosselló, Natalie A. Jaresko, Executive Director, Financial Oversight and Management Board for Puerto Rico; Martín Guzmán, Non-Resident Senior Fellow for Fiscal Policy, Espacios Abiertos; Amanda Rivera, Executive Director, The Institute for Youth Development of Puerto Rico; Ana Cristina Gómez-Pérez, Associate Professor, University of Puerto Rico; and Alex J. Pollock, Distinguished Senior Fellow, R Street Institute are part of the witness list.

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Book notes: Finance and philosophy, by Alex J Pollock

From Central Banking:

Pollock started his working life as a banker. In 1970, he was a management trainee in the international banking department of the Continental Illinois Bank of Chicago. He stuck with it, but in 1984 – by which time he was a senior vice-president – Continental Illinois Bank failed.

He writes it was “intellectually stimulating – indeed, a highly educational experience”.

Read the rest here.

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The Bill Walton Show: Finance, Philosophy and more with Alex Pollock

Published by the Bill Walton Show.

People look to the government to prevent future financial crises and trust that politicians and economic experts can create policies to protect us and our 401(k) plans. We shouldn’t trust them. These experts are smart, mostly well-intentioned people but they can’t prevent the next crisis. No one can. Why is that? Why is a future crisis inevitable? I discuss these and many other questions with “Finance and Philosophy” author Alex Pollock.

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What will cryptocurrency be like in 10 years?

Published in ReadWrite.

The second issue the subcommittee raised was that of government-created cryptocurrencies. Alex J. Pollock of the R Street Institute said that: “In short, to have a central bank digital currency is a terrible idea — one of the worst financial ideas of recent times.” Pollock argued that “[The Federal Reserve] would automatically become the overwhelming credit allocator of the financial system. Its credit allocation would unavoidably be highly politicized. It would become merely a government commercial bank, with the taxpayers on the hook for its credit losses. The world’s experience with such politicized lenders makes a sad history.”

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Two books that will enrich your understanding of banking and bank crises

Published in Real Clear Markets.

Over the summer, I had the pleasure of reading the prerelease versions of two books about banking and financial crises: Finance and Philosophy: Why We’re Always Surprised, by Alex J. Pollock, (Paul Dry Books, October 16, 2018), and Borrowed Time: Two Centuries of Booms, Busts, and Bailouts at Citi, by James Freeman and Vern McKinley (Harper Business, 2018). Pollock’s book is being released in October, and Freeman and McKinley’s book is already available. If the history of banking and financial crises interests you, I think you will find both books to be rich in content and enjoyable to read. I know I did.

In Finance and Philosophy Alex Pollock, a former president and CEO of the Federal Home Loan Bank of Chicago, applies his formidable intellect and a lifetime of banking experience to explain in a simple and entertaining way why we continue to have banking crises and why post-crisis regulatory reforms are doomed to fail.

Banking systems will be prone to crises so long as investors confuse risk and uncertainty writes Pollock. Risk can be modeled, assessed and managed, but not so uncertainty.

[…]

Pollock recounts numerous historical examples where the accuracy of heuristic models evaporated once investors and regulators adopted models to guide their actions. For example, in the recent financial crisis, institutions relied on models to parse the risk in subprime mortgage-backed securities. To describe the impact of uncertainty, Pollock quotes Tony Saunders “[t]he rocket scientists built a missile which landed on themselves.”

In Pollock’s view, over confidence in heuristic models is especially problematic when models are sanctioned by bank regulators or the Federal Reserve. For example, time and again, investors have been crushed when uncertainty reveals that investments like government bonds—presumed to be “riskless” in regulatory models— aren’t. Or markets presumed to be deep and dependably liquid—like commercial paper—cease to function.

The confusion between risk and uncertainty is not limited to private bankers and investors—in Pollock’s view, it is endemic among the modern central bankers entrusted with managing the economy. Unable to anticipate economic uncertainty, their economic models often misinterpret the economic tea leaves and lead central bankers (Pollock’s would-be “philosopher kings”) to adopt policies that magnify financial instability as they did in the great inflation of the 1970s and the great moderation (a.k.a. the housing bubble) more recently.

Pollock’s observations and historical examples are compelling, and his wide-ranging discussion of banking and financial crises is not only accessible, but a pleasure to read.

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Subcommittee examines ways to reform the Federal Reserve

Published by the House Financial Services Subcommittee on Monetary Policy and Trade.

“The proposals under consideration today are all parts of a timely and fundamental review of America’s central bank. As Congressman Huizenga has rightly said, ‘With the Federal Reserve having more power and responsibility than ever before, it is imperative the Fed…become more transparent and accountable.’… The Federal Reserve without question needs to be accountable to the Congress, be subject to appropriate check and balances, and be understood in the context of inherent financial and economic uncertainty. It would benefit from rebalancing of centralized vs. federal elements in its internal structures.” — Alex J. Pollock, Distinguished Senior Fellow, R Street Institute

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Former FHLB Chicago President and CEO, Alex J. Pollock, named Finzat Block Senior Advisor

Published in Markets Insider.

Finzat Block LLC., a Block One Capital portfolio company, announced that Alex J. Pollock has become a Senior Advisor to the firm.  Mr. Pollock, former President and CEO of the Federal Home Loan Bank of Chicago, will provide Finzat with guidance regarding business strategy, product innovation, and executive leadership.

“Blockchain is emerging as a potential paradigm-shifting technology in mortgage finance.  I look forward to working with Finzat Block on using blockchain to restructure the technological underpinnings of mortgage market transactions,” Mr. Pollock said.

Mr. Pollock is currently a distinguished senior fellow at the R Street Institute in Washington, DC. Previously, he was a resident fellow at the American Enterprise Institute. As President and CEO of the Federal Home Loan Bank of Chicago from 1991 to 2004, Mr. Pollock was the creator of the MPF mortgage origination program that was the first to provide community financial institutions a way to share credit risk and provide a meaningful alternative to selling mortgages to Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae.

Mr. Pollock currently serves as a director of the CME Group (Chicago Mercantile Exchange), Great Lakes Higher Education Corporation and the Great Books Foundation, and is a member of the Advisory Board of the Heller College of Business at Roosevelt University.  He was also the past-President of the International Union for Housing Finance.

Mr. Pollock has written extensively on economic cycles, risk and uncertainty, mortgage markets, central banking and the politics of finance.  His new book, “Finance and Philosophy, is expected to be published by Paul Dry Books in October of this year.

Mr. Pollock is a graduate of Williams College. He completed his MA at the University of Chicago and MPA in international affairs at Princeton University.

“We are fortunate to have Alex’s considerable experience and mortgage market knowledge on the team as Finzat strives to bring the benefits of blockchain into the mortgage mainstream”, said Gnanesh Coomaraswamy, Finzat founder and CEO.

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US Congress: Yes to crypto, no to central bank crypto

Published in Coingeek.

Alex Pollock, a senior fellow at the R Street Institute, took to the microphone to discuss central bank-digital currency (CBDC). He said, “[To] have a central bank digital currency is one of the worst financial ideas of recent times, but still it’s quite conceivable…” He further asserted that a central bank’s digital currency would increase the power of the bank that could lead to the Federal Reserve becoming the “overwhelming credit allocator of the U.S. economic and financial system” if the Reserve were to adopt a CBDC.

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